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As the 2020 U.S. Elections near, we wanted to provide helpful information and resources. Below please find our insight on Elections and Markets, links to helpful resources on voting and election forecasts, and other FEG recommended materials.
Please note, we do not advance the campaign of any candidate nor support any political party or platform. Rather, our objective is to provide information regarding elections and investing. address not only historical information, but elements of each presidential campaign’s policies and proposals that could impact markets.
We hope that you find this information balanced and beneficial for a macro-view of elections and investments.
Elections and Markets
Generally, making asset allocation decisions on potential policy changes as a consequence of an election is less than prudent, and we do not advocate portfolio changes on the basis of potential election outcomes. Nevertheless, elections set the fundamental tone of policy that dictates the playing field in which commerce and investment occur, so understanding policy is important.
Readers should understand that no political party has a monopoly on success of the United States and markets have performed well regardless of who is in charge. If any message is to be received from this presentation, this is the most important one.
To aid in the understanding of the fundamental underpinnings of the implications of the election, we address: Polls, Markets, and Party Control; and Economic Concerns and Policy Implications.
To download the full presentation, please click here.
Helpful Resources
U.S. ELECTION PREDICTIONS
The following sites provide forecasts for the Presidential, House and Senate elections.
- FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast
- The Economist U.S. Election Forecast
- 270toWin — Provides a number of forecasts from different organizations.
VOTING RESOURCES
- U.S. Government Voting Hub
Find answers to common questions about voting in the United States - www.vote.org
Nonpartisan resource that provides resources including ballot information and voting locations - www.vote411.org
Election information provided by the League of Women Voters Education Fund
Please note: Third-party links are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation or advise by FEG. This information is in no way a solicitation or offer to sell securities or investment advisory services. Clicking on external links means you will be leaving this Web site and you assume total responsibility and risk for your use of the site(s) you are visiting.
